Barack Obama unveiled his ten-year budget plan today with implications for the government and the country that are, well, a little overwhelming for even the wonkiest of observers. Here are some quick thoughts — more over the next 10 years:
-The New York Times’s Jackie Calmes and Robert Pear lead with the projection that the national deficit will be an incomprehensible $1.75 trillion this year. It is supposed to decrease, though, to $433 billion by 2013 and then increase again to $712 billion in 2019.
Which raises the question: Why is the national deficit the headline issue when most economists agree it is a secondary matter during the recession?
Nonetheless, the deficit is a (slightly misleading) jumping off point for examining the hard budgetary choices Obama isn’t making. Every single cabinet-level agency will enjoy an increase in money for fiscal-year 2010 except Justice, Energy and Health and Human Services. And Energy and HHS already have billions coming from the stimulus package. This means cutting billions in useless Pentagon weapons programs is, at least for now, being deferred. A rollback for people getting more than $500,000 in farm subsidies is the only example the Times provides of a significant cost reduction. Sounds good, but farm subsidies, no matter how bad of a policy they might be, cost a fraction of, say the F-22 jet or a missile defense program that doesn’t work and isn’t needed.
- The Environmental Protection Agency gets a 34 percent increase in their budget, mainly to deal with enforcing Clean Water laws. Wow!
- The Washington Post’s Steve Vogel reports that one source of small cost savings are a reduced annual raise for civil servants. Federal employees will get a 2 percent raise and military gets a 2.9 percent raise. Both groups got 3.9 percent last year. This increases the problem of of public sector pay lagging further behind private sector pay (i.e. government contractors). But the clearer-than-the-light-of-day injustice here is why in the world service members deserve a higher raise than civilians.
- Republicans quickly attacked the tax increases on "average Amercians" even though Obama is only increasing the taxes on people making over $250,000 a year and (two years from now, if it can manage its way through Congress) and energy companies that emit dangerous levels of carbon. An early Republican tactic is claiming that the average Joe will incur these energy taxes, though my understanding is that they’re a direct tax on the company.
I’m sure everything will be sorted out by tomorrow. -MB